Yesterday was a 2-1 day with the parlay hitting as well as the MAX PLAY!! We almost avoided the trap in the Iowa State game, but a terrible foul on a 3-pointer as time expired ruined our hopes of the Cyclones covering the -5.5-point spread. Iowa State still won, but just by 4-points. Oh well, it was still a profitable game, and we are back today to continue the green streak!
Bet #1:
XAV/UConn o153.5
Reasoning:
Xavier has really come to the spotlight recently and it seems that every competitive game they play, they put up a load of points. In the last 8 games against ranked/competitive teams (a little subjective), Xavier has gone over 154 points in their games 6 times.
UConn has had one of the most disappointing midseason stretches out of the national title contenders. UConn was ranked in the top 5 but have since lost 2 out of their last 7. This is a huge game for UConn to gain their respect back. Because of this, I believe it will be a high scoring back and forth matchup where both teams could score in the high 80's.
Bet #2:
HOU/UCF o128.5
Reasoning:
Houston is one of the best defensive teams in the country and have paired that with a very solid offense as well. However, their defense has been a little exposed lately and despite allowing just 53 PPG, they have been a little vulnerable. Also, the over of 128.5 has gone over in 6 of Houston's last 7 games.
Houston will play a relatively descent offensive team in UCF. UCF scores 72 PPG, and even with Houston's stellar defense, I can see them putting up 70. Too add onto that, UCF has gone over 128.5 in 4 of their last 5 games. I can see an 80-70 Houston Victory
Bet #3:
VCU/Geroge Mason u138.5
Reasoning:
This is my least favorite play of the evening, and there is not a whole lot of stats to back up my reasoning. I am primarily banking on a big rivalry game to have a lot of intensity on defense and both teams struggle to shoot the ball. I am projecting this game to end in the 50's for both teams where the total goes under easily. At least that is my thought process. I wouldn't hate if you avoided this one.
Bet #4: (POTENTIAL MAX PLAY!)
LOU/BC o132.5
Reasoning:
Louisville is laughably bad, and Boston College isn't much better. I think that since both teams are so bad, they will actually have some success on offense and run up that score. Although Louisville has just two wins, they have scored over 70 points multiple times this season, which is way about their season average of 62 points.
Both teams have gone over the point total of 132.5 seven out of their last 8 games, and I could see this game ending around 140-145 total points. I currently have two units on this but may add another to make it a 3-unit MAX!
ML Parlay:
Since last night's ML parlay hit with relative ease, I had added another one tonight. It is just two legs, but if you want to get risky, I have added another potential leg to boost your odds.
Providence ML
Auburn ML
(-130)
The reasoning is simple. Providence is 11/12 at home this season, and I can guarantee you that Butler is not going to be the team to upset the friars.
Likewise, Auburn is undefeated at home this year, standing at 11-0. They are a small trap in my opinion on the spread against Texas A&M, who have been playing great lately, but I cannot bet against an undefeated home team. It will be a competitive game, but Auburn will pull it out in the end.
If you are unhappy with the -130 odds, you could potentially add Maryland Money Line to the parlay. They play Wisconsin at home, and like the two above teams, Maryland is great at home. Wisconsin has also struggled as of late, so I can see the Terps winning this one.
I am happy with my 2-teamer so I will not take the risk on Maryland.
As always, all plays are posted on both Twitter and Pikkit. Good luck, good scores, and Godspeed!
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