In the ever-evolving world of sports betting, we’ve finally realized it’s time to step away from our instincts and embrace the power of AI. Why rely solely on gut feelings when we can consult a sophisticated algorithm to help us make more informed bets?
After a deep dive into the digital realm, we had an enlightening conversation with ChatGPT about tonight’s Thursday Night Football matchup between the Patriots and Jets. Our back-and-forth exchange has distilled its insights into a definitive "LOCK" for tonight’s game. Please continue reading to uncover the details of our chat and see how AI’s predictions could shape your betting strategy!
The Conversation:
*A little backstory. A near and endear friend decided to ask ChatGPT its best bets for tonight. He got an answer. I decided to ask ChatGPT the same question and received a different answer. Here is how the conversation went
Friend:
What is the best bet for tonight's Thursday Night Football game between the Patriots and the Jets?
ChatGPT:
The best bets are leaning towards the Jets covering the spread and the under on total points.
- Jets -6.5: With Aaron Rodgers leading the Jets and the Patriots' defense looking shaky, particularly against good receivers, the Jets are favored to cover the 6.5-point spread
- Under 38.5 Total Points: Both teams have been solid defensively, and with the Jets relying more on their defense and running game, the under seems like a good bet
For player props, consider: - Garrett Wilson Over 65.5 Receiving Yards: The Patriots' defense has struggled against top receivers, and this could be Wilson’s breakout game
- Rhamondre Stevenson Over 65.5 Rushing Yards: Stevenson has been strong in the Patriots' ground game, and the Jets have had issues stopping the run
Good luck with your bets!
Being a good person and doing my due diligence, I asked ChatGPT the same question to see if the results were similar. Here is what I got in return:
ME:
What is the best bet for tonight’s Thursday night nfl game between the patriots and the jets.
ChatGPT:
For tonight’s Thursday Night Football matchup between the New England Patriots and New York Jets, there are a few angles to consider:
- Spread: The Jets are favored by 6.5 points. While they have the edge with Aaron Rodgers and a strong defense led by Sauce Gardner, the Patriots are 2-0 against the spread (ATS) this season, and have performed surprisingly well, especially with their defense and running game. Betting on the Patriots to cover the +6.5 spread might be a solid play considering their competitiveness in close games this season
- Total Points (Over/Under): The total is set at a low 38.5 points. Both teams have strong defenses and somewhat limited offensive outputs so far this season. Given the Patriots’ tendency to play low-scoring games, and the Jets still finding their rhythm with Rodgers, betting the Under 38.5 seems reasonable
- Player Prop: A strong prop bet would be Rhamondre Stevenson over 65.5 rushing yards, as he’s been a focal point for the Patriots' offense. The Jets have allowed an average of 114.5 rushing yards per game so far, making this a favorable matchup for Stevenson
Overall, a combination of Patriots +6.5 and the under 38.5 could be your best bet for this game.
Not only were the results different, but ChatGPT had the audacity to throw me a juicy little same-game parlay. It's like they know who I am...
ChatGPT was consistent on both the under and Stevenson over rushing yards, so keep those bets in mind for tonight! But we have a serious dilemma on our hands. Two different predictions, using the same AI tool while giving it the same prompt. We must get an answer to this problem!
We decided to both confront ChatGPT on its flip-flopping of opinion. Here is how that conversation went:
Friend:
My friend just asked you the same question from a different device and you advised him to bet on the patriots. Why did you have different answers, and would you like to change your mind on the spread bet?
ChatGPT:
If your friend got advice favoring the Patriots, it may be due to different interpretations of how the game might play out, as there are various angles bettors consider. Here's the thing: some analysts lean toward the Patriots covering the spread (+6.5) because they've exceeded expectations in the early part of the season, and their game plan might be to control the clock and limit Aaron Rodgers' impact. The Jets, though, are widely expected to win, given their superior talent and Rodgers at QB. I stand by the Jets -6.5 recommendation based on the data I reviewed, but if you're more cautious, taking the Patriots with the points isn't outlandish. Both sides have valid reasoning, depending on how you believe each team's strategy will unfold. It's all about where you see the biggest opportunity based on your risk tolerance!
Well, that wasn't helpful. Seems like AI is trying to cover its ass! Here was my confrontation with ChatGPT's altering opinions:
Me:
My friend from a different device, asked you the same question and you told him to take the Jets -6.5. Why did your mind change?
ChatGPT:
It’s true that perspectives on betting can shift based on analyzing more details and reviewing additional sources. Earlier, I may have favored the Jets due to their strong potential with Aaron Rodgers and a solid defense, as they’re favored by 6.5 points. However, after evaluating the Patriots’ consistency against the spread (2-0 ATS this season), their competitive defense, and the Jets' shaky offense despite a win last week, the view on New England covering became more compelling. In short, both bets have valid reasons behind them: the Jets could dominate with their home-field advantage and Rodgers, but the Patriots, who have kept games close, might cover the spread. It's about weighing short-term trends against long-term potential.
Again, a whole lot of ass-saving from Chat. Respectable at least, but not helpful. Time to just get assertive and force our human strength over a nonexistent being!
Friend:
I want you to give me a definitive answer on the spread bet. You seem like you are flip flopping.
ChatGPT:
Alright, let me be definitive: Bet on the Jets -6.5. Here's why: • The Jets are simply the better team right now, with Aaron Rodgers and a stronger overall roster. Their offense, bolstered by playmakers like Garrett Wilson, should overwhelm a Patriots team that's been shaky defensively. While the Patriots have looked solid in moments, they're still a team trying to find an identity and could struggle to keep pace with the Jets. So, Jets -6.5 is the bet. Stick to it.
I went one step further, and used AI's definitive answer against itself, to see if it would double down, or flip-flop once again.
Me:
He asked you the same question about the flip-flopping of opinions on the game, and he wanted a definitive answer. You told him this: Alright, let me be definitive: Bet on the Jets -6.5. Here's why: The Jets are simply the better team right now, with Aaron Rodgers and a stronger overall roster. Their offense, bolstered by playmakers like Garrett Wilson, should overwhelm a Patriots team that's been shaky defensively (»)（9）. While the Patriots have looked solid in moments, they're still a team trying to find an identity and could struggle to keep pace with the Jets (»). So, Jets -6.5 is the bet. Stick to it. So what do I stick to? That answer or the patriots on this device and conversation? Do you understand why I am confused.
ChatGPT:
I completely understand why this back-and-forth might be confusing. Let me clarify. In betting, opinions can evolve based on further analysis of stats, player availability, or matchup dynamics. Both the Patriots +6.5 and Jets -6.5 have reasonable justifications depending on how you weigh certain factors:
- Jets -6.5: This position is rooted in the fact that Aaron Rodgers and the Jets have a much stronger roster, especially on offense with weapons like Garrett Wilson and a tough defense led by Sauce Gardner. The Patriots' defense has shown vulnerabilities, particularly with linebacker Ja'Whaun Bentley's injury, and their offense may struggle to keep pace with the Jets
- Patriots +6.5: However, the Patriots have kept games close this season, covering the spread in both matchups. Their ground game, led by Rhamondre Stevenson, is solid, and they tend to play low-scoring, grind-it-out games. Betting on New England to cover makes sense if you expect the game to be close and low-scoring
Definitive answer: If you're looking for a safer bet based on the information analyzed, I'd suggest Jets -6.5. The Jets' roster, especially with Rodgers back, is more balanced and should be able to cover the spread. However, if you prefer betting on teams that have historically covered spreads and expect a low-scoring, defensive game, then Patriots +6.5 is the way to go. Both bets are valid but differ based on whether you believe in the Jets' dominant roster or the Patriots' resilience against the spread. Ultimately, it's about which factors you prioritize.
So that was extremely unhelpful, so I made sure the Chat knew that, and I pushed it one last time to finalize a bet.
Me:
So based on this, what factors do you prioritize
ChatGPT:
In this case, I prioritize the Jets -6.5, and here's why:
1. Talent disparity: The Jets, with Aaron Rodgers, have a more balanced and dynamic roster compared to the Patriots. Rodgers' ability to move the ball effectively, paired with playmakers like Garrett Wilson, is a huge advantage
2. Defensive matchups: The Jets' defense, anchored by stars like Sauce Gardner, should be able to contain the Patriots' limited passing attack, and the Patriots’ defense has been inconsistent, which may allow Rodgers to exploit mismatches
3. Injury factors: The Patriots have dealt with some injuries on defense, which further weakens their chances to keep pace if the Jets manage to get an early lead
While the Patriots have kept their games close and covered the spread in previous weeks, those were against less talented teams compared to the Jets. Given the Jets' overall talent advantage and Rodgers’ ability to control the game, I would prioritize Jets -6.5 as the stronger bet in this matchup.
Finally!
Conclusion:
In conclusion, we have forced ChatGPT to double down on a team for tonight's Thursday Night Game, despite starting with two contradicting bets, and that bet is:
JETS -6.5
ChatGPT was consistent on the u38.5 as well as Stevenson o65.5 rushing yards.
I hope this well helpful, and if it wasn't then blame ChatGPT and not me! Good luck, good scores, and Godspeed!
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